betHQ Editor
October 3, 2026
The Coolmore Sioux Nation Concorde Stakes (Listed) is run at 2.30 on Sunday 4 October over seven furlongs at the Curragh, for three-year-olds and upwards, worth €50,000 guaranteed, with €30,000 of it to the winner. Listed is the tier just below Group company. Ten line up on soft ground, and for the first time here rather than at Tipperary.
Who’s Fancied — and Why
Loughrea heads the betting at 13/8. The four-year-old, trained by Andrew Slattery, has run five times and won three, the last of them a seventeen-runner handicap over a mile here in August. The handicapper has put his mark up twelve pounds since that run.
Next at 10/3 is King Cuan, who holds the best official rating in the field — the handicapper’s own mark, and nothing here is rated higher. He has not run since late April, and was out of the places that day.
Then Big Gossey at 5/1: a nine-year-old grey from Charles O’Brien’s yard with ninety-four races behind him, second here seven days ago and shouldering three pounds more than any rival.
A New Home, and a Lot of Rain
The Concorde has moved: the last six runnings, 2020 to 2025, were all at Tipperary, so this is its first at the Curragh, and past winners tell you nothing about this track.
Twenty millimetres of rain fell on Friday evening and the Curragh is riding differently on its two courses: soft, soft to heavy in places on the straight, yielding to soft on the round. Seven furlongs here is run on the straight, the softer of the two courses. Expect an update before racing.
What the Racing Press Are Saying
Harry Wilson, who writes the Racing Post’s daily tips, sides with King Cuan, who he reckons goes well fresh after a summer off and may have more to give over this trip.
Brian O’Connor, writing in the Irish Times, expects Big Gossey to be a major player again at his local track, while suggesting Loughrea, whose mark has risen sharply, may have the answer. The Kildare Nationalist is also taken with Big Gossey.
Our Read
The honest position first: we cannot separate these two. Our reading of the form has Loughrea and Big Gossey dead level — not close, level — and when that happens we go with the horse the betting prefers. That is Loughrea. But he is not our best horse in the race; he is joint-best, and the market cast the deciding vote.
Confidence is Fair rather than Strong for that exact reason: we can say he is as good as anything here, not that he is better than Big Gossey. All five of his races have come in maidens and handicaps, and Listed company is a step up. He has won at the Curragh but never over seven furlongs. The form says how good he has been; today’s questions are about grade and trip.
Big Gossey, then. At 5/1 he is level with the favourite on our reading, and level on our reading means the bigger price is the better value. He matches Loughrea on Racing Post Ratings, the Racing Post’s measure of how well a horse has run. He is a pound ahead of him on official rating, and well clear of him on Topspeed, the clock figure. He has won over this course and distance, and was second in a Group 3 here in late September. The counter is blunt: Loughrea beat him eleven and a half lengths in that August handicap.
Our second tip is Carolina Jetstream at 17/2. She holds the best Racing Post Rating in this field, and the favourite is two pounds behind her on it. She is no outsider in the betting, and she has won over seven furlongs.
Her counter-case is concrete: she was out of the places last time out. A Racing Post Rating says how well she has run at her best; a last run says what she did three weeks ago. Back her and you trust the better days ahead of the most recent page of the form book — reasonable, but not free money.
How to Bet This Race
Our first tip is Loughrea at 13/8 and the bet is a win single, labelled The Likeliest Winner, with confidence Fair because our reading cannot separate him from Big Gossey. A £20 win single returns £52.50 if he wins, a profit of £32.50; if he is beaten, the £20 is gone.
Do not go each-way: at this price it is a trap. Ten runners means three places at a fifth of the odds, and a £10 each-way bet costs £20 — £10 to win, £10 for the place. He wins: £39.50 back, a profit of £19.50, against a profit of £32.50 from the same £20 on the win single. Placed without winning: £13.25 back on a £20 outlay, a loss of £6.75. Out of the first three: the £20 is gone. At a fifth of the odds, a placed run at anything shorter than 5/1 loses money, and at 5/1 it only returns your stake.
A daily winnings boost from William Hill adds a little to a winning return; it makes nothing more likely to win.
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Our second tip is Carolina Jetstream at 17/2, labelled The Alternative: a bigger price than the favourite on a horse the betting also rates among the leading few. Confidence is Fair: the best Racing Post Rating in the race on one side, a last run out of the places on the other. A £20 win single returns £190, a profit of £170.
The three each-way outcomes: a £10 each-way bet costs £20. She wins: £122 back, a profit of £102 — against a profit of £170 from the same £20 on the win, so the place half surrenders £68 of upside. Placed without winning: £27 back, a profit of £7. Out of the first three: the £20 is gone. Seven pounds of comfort for sixty-eight of upside is a thin trade, so we lean to the win single — a judgement, not a rule. Check your own firm’s place terms.
Odds can move before the off, which is where best odds guaranteed at bet365 helps.
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Prices differ from firm to firm and will move before the off, so it pays to shop around.
What Other Tipsters Are Saying
We collect the newspaper and online tipster selections on race-day morning; they appear here once published.
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Indicated odds were updated on 2026-10-16 4:38:03 UTC. Please note that
odds are subject to change.
Tips cannot guarantee betting success. Review tipsters performance and bet responsibly.
Tips cannot guarantee betting success. Review tipsters performance and bet responsibly.
How to Watch the Concorde Stakes Live
If you have a bet365 account, its live racing stream is one way to watch.
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On television, the Curragh is covered by Racing TV, a premium subscription channel. Free-to-air coverage had not been announced for this race at the time of writing.
The Verdict
Loughrea at 13/8 is the tip, as a win single, confidence Fair — as good as anything here on our reading, but not provably better than Big Gossey, and stepping up to Listed company for the first time. Carolina Jetstream at 17/2 is the second tip, also a win single and also Fair: the best Racing Post Rating in the field, against a run out of the places last time. And if Big Gossey at 5/1 is your bet, we will not argue: our reading makes him the favourite’s equal.
Odds correct at time of writing, 2026-10-03 18:45 UTC. Prices change — always check the live table before betting. All tips and opinions here are our own. No bookmaker mentioned in this article has endorsed them. 18+. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware.org
How we pick our tips
Every preview on betHQ starts from the betting market, not against it. The price a horse is trading at is the single best guide anyone has to its chance — it reflects the form book, the money and the opinion of people who do this for a living. So our first question is not “who wins?” but “does our own reading of the form agree with the market, and where doesn’t it?”
We rate every runner on five things: its Racing Post Rating, its Topspeed figure, its Official Rating, how it has run in its last three starts, and how it has fared against the other horses in this race when they have met. We then compare that order with the betting order. Handicaps work differently, because in those the official handicapper sets each horse’s weight from its official rating — so there we adjust the ratings for the weight carried on the day and leave the official rating out, rather than counting the same thing twice.
Most of the time we agree with the market about the likeliest winner, and we say so — across British and Irish racing the favourite wins roughly a third of all races. How often varies a great deal by the type of race, though. Favourites win appreciably more often in conditions races, where horses run off set weights, than in handicaps, where the handicapper’s whole job is to give every runner the same chance; and in the biggest fields their strike rate falls away sharply. That is our first tip. Where we differ is usually further down the betting, and if a horse looks better to us than its price suggests, and is good enough on ratings to be a realistic winner, it becomes our second tip. Some races only get one tip. That is fine.
We also tell you how we would back each one, because the bet you place matters as much as the horse you pick. A short-priced favourite and a 12/1 outsider call for different approaches, and the right bookmaker offer can improve either.
Two things to be clear about. The weightings above are our judgement, not a proven formula — we do not claim to beat the market over time, and nobody should treat our tips as a way to make money. And the prices we quote are the ones showing when we write, the evening before racing; they move, sometimes a lot, so always check the live table before you back anything. Please bet responsibly.
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